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Clickbank gravity

What is ClickBank Gravity?

Clickbank Gravity is a measure of how popular product is with affiliates. Although it can somewhat correlate with product sales, there is no direct connection. There can be products with zero-gravity that sell by the tousands and there can be products with much higher gravity that currently don't make any sales at all. Lets take a close look at how is clickbank gravity calculated...

Clickbank gravity formula

Day since sale Gravity
11.0000
20.9593
30.9202
40.8827
50.8468
60.8123
70.7792
80.7475
90.7170
100.6878
110.6598
120.6329
130.6071
140.5824
150.5587
160.5359
170.5141
180.4932
190.4731
200.4538
210.4353
220.4176
230.4006
240.3843
250.3686
260.3536
270.3392
280.3254
290.3121
300.2994
310.2872
320.2755
330.2643
340.2535
350.2432
360.2333
370.2238
380.2147
390.2059
400.1976
410.1895
420.1818
430.1744
440.1673
450.1605
460.1539
470.1477
480.1417
490.1359
500.1303
510.1250
520.1199
530.1151
540.1104
550.1059

Clickbank gravity is a number that is calculated based on the number of affiliates that have made a product sale recently. Here's how it works:

Each affiliate that generated a product sale the day before gravity is computed increases it by exactly one. If affiliate stops generating sales, his contribution to product's gravity will gradually decrease, until it reaches 0.105905 and then immediately drops to zero after N days. If somewhere along the way that affilate generates another sale, his contribution to gravity jumps back up to 1 and would start decreasing again.

On average affiliate's contribution to clickbank gravity number declines 4.073% per day when no sales are made. If you would like to be exact, it actually decreases 4% on most of the days, but there are days when it is not true due to rounding errors.

Automated clickbank gravity script adds up contributions of each individual affiliate to calculate the final number.

Please keep in mind that following things are not taken into account:

  • Number of sales that affiliate has made. Whether affiliate made a single sale in a day or 10,000 sales - it will have the same effect on clickbank gravity
  • Refunds. If affiliate made some product sales and some or even all of them were refunded - it will not affect clickbank gravity score.
  • Sales that product vendor has generated directly are not taken into account at all
  • Rebills don't affect gravity - only initial sales

Below you can see a graph of single affilate's contribution to the number if he made a single sale and then didn't make any sales at all

Ideal Clickbank Gravity Graph

"Single shot" products

xtremetrafficabitrage.com gravity chart

If you have been around clickbank for a while, you have probably seen a gravity chart that looks like this. This usually happens when two conditions are true:

  1. Product's target audience is clickbank affiliates (make money online type products
  2. Vendor or his JV partners have very-very-very long mail list

A product is created. Promotional emails are sent out. People buy products though their own affilaite links and gravity skyrockets on the very first day. Of course each affiliate only buys the product once and does little to promote it. However the product gets noticed due to it's high gravity and generates some additional sales before going off-line so the gravity doesn't drop as fast as it could have otherwise. In this particular case it looks like the vendor released an update later down the road and sent out another promotional email causing a second (relatively) low gravity spike. The height of this spike roughly corresponds to the number of clickbank affiliates who purchased the product for themselves.

Highest gravity since I have started to keep records back in 2007 was achieved by Mass Money Makers. It achieved a whooping gravity of 2086.87 on January 10th, 2011

Which clickbank products should I promote then?

There is no exact answer here - it's all trial and error. High gravity usually indicates high competition. But this alone shouldn't stop you. 5% of affiliates usually generate 95% of the sales so the remaining 95% don't put up much of a fight. Low gravity doesn't mean small sales volume either. Single affiliate can still sell 100s of copies per day. So what should you do? Here are some guidelines that will hopefully be of some help:

  • Explore cb-analytics.com. It has much more data than just gravity.
  • For each product it shows estimated number of unique visitores per month that can give you an idea of products real success and sales volume
  • Look at "Google Organic" and "Google Awords" indicies. These will give you an idea where users come from: organic SEO, pay-per-click or other websites
  • Look at the "Referred %" graph. It shows a ratio of affiliate generated sales to total product sales. If this line is choppy and looks like it was made out of square blocks - it's a telltale sign that product doesn't sell many copies since each individual sale either by vendor or affiliate significantly affects it. If on the other hand the line looks smooth - product sells well
  • Look at the earning per sale graph. It shows now much an average affiliate makes from product sale. Everything said about choppy vs. smooth graphs mentioned above applies to EPS as well. It can also tell you how about refunds and show long users stay on board with recurring products. Do keep in mind that this graph is only affected by affiliate generated sales. Vendor sales don't count
  • You should definitely stay away from products that have been around for months and never had a gravity above 1. While there is a very small chance that you will find find a diamond in the rough. Most of the times it will not be the case.
  • Experiment, try, experiment and try and then some more. Nobody will give you a ready blueprint for success. Why would anyone share a sure working method for making money rather than make money themselves? The more you try, the higher the chance that you will stumble onto smothing that will help you make money.